Paul
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Subject: South America group stage Sun Oct 11, 2009 6:47 am |
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Table Pts Brazil* 33 (have a game in hand against Bolivia) Paraguay * 33 Chile* 30 Argentina 25 Uruguay 24 Ecuador 23 Venezuela 21 Colombia 20
*Qualified
There is one more round of fixtures to play in the group.
A Martin Palermo goal deep into injury time gave Argentina a priceless victory over Peru, but they can still fail to qualify for the World Cup, they have a very important game away to Uruguay. They have to win, if they do lose away to Uruguay then they have to rely on Chile to beat Ecuador. If they lose and Ecuador win, then Argentina are out of the tournament. If Argentina lose and Ecuador also lose, then Argentina will have to qualify via the play off’s.
If Argentina fail to qualify then it will be the first time they failed to reach the World Cup finals since 1970.
Ecuador has a tricky away tie to already qualified Chile, who might want to leap frog Paraguay into second spot, or even take first spot from Brazil, the latter seems unlikely. Ecuador need to win, a win will see the thought to the play off’s at the very least. A loss will see Ecuador fail to qualify for 2010. A draw will see they have a very slim chance of qualification, but there is a huge gap in goal difference between Ecuador and Uruguay.
A draw between Argentina and Uruguay is Ecuador’s only chance of finishing 4th Ecuador will finish in a playoff spot unless they beat Chile by 5 or more goals.
After Uruguay’s 4-2 victory over Ecuador, they have leapfrogged Ecuador into 5th place. The next game is at home to Argentina, they have to win to ensure they qualify. If they do not win they have to rely on Chile to beat Ecuador.
Unlike Argentina, Uruguay are under threat from Venezuela, but Venezuela goal difference is -5 to Uruguay 9, so Venezuela don’t stand a chance. Venezuela travel to Brazil for their last game of the group.
Colombia, who were already failed to qualify have suffered a 4-2 defeat to Chile.
As it stands the 5th place team will play Honduras in the playoff tie to reach South Africa.
If Argentina lose and Ecuador win, it would look like this
Team PTS 4.Uruguay 27 5.Ecuador 26 6.Argentina 25
If Argentina win and Ecuador lose then:
4.Argentina 28 5.Uruguay 24 6.Ecuador 23
If both Argentina and Ecuador win then: 4.Argentina 28 5.Ecuador 26 6.Uruguay 24
If Argentina draw and Ecuador draw then: 4.Argentina 26 5.Uruguay 25 6.Ecuador 24
If Argentina and Ecuador both lose then: 4.Uruguay 27 5.Argentina 25 6.Ecuador 23
Chile vs Ecuador and Uruguay vs Argentina will be played on the 15th October
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Paul
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Subject: Re: South America group stage Thu Oct 15, 2009 9:12 am |
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Argentina qualify after beating uruguay 1-0 and uruguay will now enter the playoffs
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